TER TERADYNE, INC

MIXED Impact: 5/10 ANALYST-UPGRADE
Processed 1mo ago SEC analyst-TER-goldmans-20251216
13 firms acted on TER: Goldman Sachs, Stifel, Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Keybanc, Vertical Research, Northland Capital Markets, JP Morgan, Cantor Fitzgerald, Craig-Hallum, Northland Capital Markets, Goldman Sachs
Latest settled — T+20d
TER ▼ -0.69% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -0.69% · α vs SPY -6.51% · entry $365.92 → $363.38
Next anchor: T+60d in 4w
Currently $403.20 · +10.19% from $365.92 entry
Entry anchored
Apr 16, 03:56 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+3.95%
call +3.95% · α +2.74%
$380.38
settled 8w ago
T+5d
+9.58%
call +9.58% · α +8.60%
$400.99
settled 7w ago
T+20d
-0.69%
call -0.69% · α -6.51%
$363.38
settled 4w ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 4w

Price Chart

Loading chart...

Executive Summary

Goldman Sachs initiated a double-upgrade on TER, moving to Buy from Sell with a $230 price target, implying 55% upside from the prior $148 target. The stock currently trades at $361.50, 57% above Goldman's new target, marking a rare contrarian call from a firm with below-average accuracy (38% on 8 calls). Consensus among 17 analysts shows a mean target of $315.76, with 65% Buy ratings. No EPS revisions in the last 7 days; 30-day momentum shows flat analyst activity. Institutional flows are split: Renaissance Technologies nearly exited, while Two Sigma doubled and Norges Bank initiated a major position. Insider selling totals $647K in the past month. Goldman’s call diverges sharply from price action and consensus, increasing contrarian signal weight.

Impact Score

Base Score
3/7
LLM Adjustment
+2
Final Score
5/10

Recent Analyst Activity

DateFirmActionRatingPrice Target
2026-04-09 Susquehanna maintain Positive
2026-04-09 Cantor Fitzgerald maintain Overweight
2026-03-30 Baird maintain Outperform
2026-02-04 Goldman Sachs maintain Buy $300.00
2026-02-04 Citigroup maintain Buy $325.00
2026-02-04 Cantor Fitzgerald maintain Overweight $330.00
2026-02-04 Evercore ISI Group maintain Outperform $320.00
2026-02-04 Stifel maintain Buy $325.00
2026-02-03 Evercore ISI Group maintain Outperform $280.00
2026-02-02 Cantor Fitzgerald maintain Overweight $270.00

Over the past 30 days, there have been 0 upgrades and 0 downgrades on TER. EPS estimates show minimal movement: for current-year EPS, 1 revision up and 1 down in the last 30 days, with a net decline of 0.12%. Next earnings date is not scheduled, removing near-term catalyst risk. Analyst sentiment is stagnant despite price appreciation, indicating decoupling between fundamentals and market action.

Firm Track Record — Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs accuracy: 54% on 2921 calls | avg return: 5.6%

Industry benchmark: mean 51% ± 11%. Top tier: ≥61% (mean + 1σ). Based on 13 firms with ≥5 scored calls.

FirmAccuracyCallsAvg Returnvs Average
Craig-Hallum 100% 2/2 2.4% top tier
Evercore ISI Group 100% 3/3 55.2% top tier
Stifel 71% 5/7 39% top tier
Morgan Stanley 60% 3/5 43.9% above average
UBS 57% 4/7 23.6% above average
Baird 50% 2/4 3.4% below average
Susquehanna 50% 3/6 7.1% below average
Northland Capital Markets 40% 2/5 -19.6% below average
Goldman Sachs 38% 3/8 21.1% below average
JP Morgan 38% 3/8 8.7% below average

Goldman Sachs has a 38% accuracy rate (3 correct out of 8 rated calls) on TER, below average compared to other firms. Its average return on rated stocks is 21.1%, below top-tier performers like Evercore ISI (100% accuracy, 55.2% return) and Stifel (71%, 39%). Among 13 firms, Goldman ranks 9th in accuracy, making this upgrade a low-conviction signal despite the double-step upgrade.

Earnings Estimates

PeriodEPS Est.EPS RangeRevenueRevisions (7d)
0y $6.26 $5.51 — $7.29 $4.2B ↑0 ↓0
0q $2.11 $2.05 — $2.28 $1.2B ↑0 ↓0
+1y $8.26 $6.75 — $9.90 $5.0B ↑1 ↓0
+1q $1.94 $1.61 — $2.38 $1.2B ↑0 ↓0

Cross-Platform Signals

Insider Trades (90d)
0 buys / 5 sells
Congressional
Michael McCaul () — buy $1,001 - $15,000
Institutional
WELLS FARGO & COMPANY/MN — add (47.1%)
Institutional
NORGES BANK — new
Institutional
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC — near_exit (-99.4%)
Short Interest
Short: 466,292 | Exempt: 284 | TRF Vol: 721,876 | Short Ratio: 64.6% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)

Institutional activity is sharply divided: Norges Bank initiated a $399M position and Two Sigma increased holdings by 1743.5%, while Renaissance Technologies reduced its stake by 99.4% and FMR LLC trimmed by 63.7%. Insiders have sold $647K in the past month. One congressional buy (Michael McCaul, $15K) adds minor bullish signal. Short interest is elevated at 64.6% short ratio, with high off-exchange volume, suggesting structural bearish positioning. Goldman’s upgrade diverges from insider and quantitative signals but aligns with select smart-money inflows.

Actionable Insight

Goldman’s upgrade is a contrarian signal from a low-accuracy firm, issued at a price 57% above its target — treat as a valuation warning, not a catalyst. Monitor for reversal in institutional outflows, particularly if Renaissance or FMR continue exiting.

Documents Analyzed

Report based on filing metadata.

10 reports for TER
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for TER — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 30, 2026
13d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$345.29 $359.63▲ +4.15%▲ +1.81%$403.20 (+16.77%)
May 26, 2026
17d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$375.83 $392.62▲ +4.47%▲ +3.26%$403.20 (+7.28%)
May 26, 2026
17d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$375.83 $392.62▲ +4.47%▲ +3.26%$403.20 (+7.28%)
May 19, 2026
24d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$321.40 $372.75▲ +15.98%▲ +13.73%$403.20 (+25.45%)
May 16, 2026
27d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$192.14 $198.34▲ +3.23%▲ +1.89%$403.20 (+109.85%)
Apr 30, 2026
6w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
MIXED ★ 3/10
$345.42 $354.11▲ +2.52%▲ +0.17%$403.20 (+16.73%)
Apr 16, 2026
8w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
MIXED ★ 5/10
$365.92 $400.99▲ +9.58%▲ +8.60%$403.20 (+10.19%)
Apr 2, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$309.61 $367.99▲ +18.86%▲ +15.24%$403.20 (+30.23%)
Mar 27, 2026
11w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$295.61 $315.43▲ +6.70%▲ +2.84%$403.20 (+36.40%)
Feb 28, 2026
15w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$325.83 $296.44▼ −9.02%▼ −7.81%$403.20 (+23.75%)
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (49h 35m)

Subscribe to SecBot

Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence

Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.

Try SecBot Free Coming soon: SecBot Pro with alerts, watchlists, and API access