TG TREDEGAR CORP

BEARISH Impact: 4/10 Insider Cluster (3 insiders)
Horizon days Filed Jun 15, 2026 Processed 5d 13h ago
Insider cluster: 3 insiders, $0.3M total
Latest settled — T+1d
TG ▼ -2.89% at T+1d
SHORT call ✓ call won +2.89% · α vs SPY +2.29% · entry $7.96 → $7.73
Next anchor: T+5d in 2d
Last close $7.77 (close Jun 17) · +2.39% from $7.96 entry (call sign-flipped)
Entry anchored
Jun 15, 02:13 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-2.89%
call +2.89% · α +2.29%
$7.73
settled 5d ago
T+5d
call — · α —
in 2d
T+20d
call — · α —
in 23d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

The Gottwald family — the three 10% owners of Tredegar Corp — collectively sold $303K of stock in a tight cluster (June 4-11), adding to $703K in insider selling over the prior 30 days. Proportional to a $287M market cap, this is 0.11% of cap, a modest but clear incremental signal. The cluster is purely selling with no insider buying, though per the literature cluster sells are less informative than cluster buys. Ticker has underperformed significantly, with no bullish analyst coverage.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$303.0K
Insiders
3

Actionable Insight

Cluster selling by all three Gottwald owners in the absence of any insider buying is a consistent signal of insider pessimism at current ~$8 levels. Despite the modest $303K amount, the uniformity (all sellers, no buyers) in a low-analyst-support name merits monitoring for operational deterioration. Watch for an upcoming 8-K or 10-Q that may explain the selling, and consider hedging around next quarterly report given the historical track record of negative T+20 outcomes.

Key Facts

  • Three Gottwald family members (all 10% owners) sold an aggregate $303K of TG shares over June 4-11.
  • Total insider selling over trailing 30 days now exceeds $1M ($703K prior + $303K = ~$1.0M or ~0.35% of market cap).
  • No insider open-market buys have been reported in the cluster window or in the prior 30 days.
  • Stock has zero analyst Buy ratings (0 Strong Buy/0 Buy, 3 Hold/6 Sell-equivalent); 0% bullish consensus.
  • Tredegar market cap is $287M; a $303K sell cluster equals 0.11% of market cap — modest in proportional terms.

Financial Impact

Not specified

Risk Factors

  • Insider selling may be driven by personal liquidity or diversification needs, not fundamental outlook.
  • Cluster sells have weak forward predictive power per the academic literature; this could be noise.
  • Historical reports on TG have been heavily negative at T+20 (−25.5% average alpha on last settled report), suggesting the stock is already in a downtrend where model calls have underperformed.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Rolling Drawing & Extruding of Nonferrous Metals
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (9 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-TG-1781547609215
20 reports for TG
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 5 of 5 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +17.57%Feb 24, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TG — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 15, 2026
5d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$7.96 $7.73▲ +2.89%▲ +2.29%$7.77 (+2.39%)
Jun 11, 2026
9d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$8.00 $8.19▲ +2.38%▲ +1.83%$7.77 (−2.88%)
Jun 8, 2026
12d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$7.95 $8.00▲ +0.63%▲ +0.92%$7.77 (−2.26%)
Jun 4, 2026
16d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$7.94 $7.71▼ −2.90%▼ −0.30%$7.77 (−2.14%)
Jun 1, 2026
19d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$7.75 $7.99▲ +3.10%▲ +2.95%$7.77 (+0.26%)
May 28, 2026
23d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$7.96 $7.81▼ −1.88%▼ −2.12%$7.77 (−2.39%)
May 27, 2026
24d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$7.96 $7.81▼ −1.88%▼ −2.12%$7.77 (−2.39%)
May 26, 2026
25d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$8.00 $8.00· 0.00%▼ −0.01%$7.77 (−2.88%)
May 22, 2026
29d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$7.82 $8.00▼ −2.30%▼ −1.72%$7.77 (+0.64%)
May 20, 2026
4w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$7.98 $7.82▼ −2.00%▼ −2.45%$7.77 (−2.63%)
Showing 10 of 20

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (29h 32m)

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