TIGR UP Fintech Holding Ltd

BEARISH Impact: 5/10 Institutional Cluster
Horizon weeks Processed 2d 1h ago
Institutional cluster: 2 buyers, 4 sellers (mixed)

Executive Summary

Three large passive/quant institutions (Morgan Stanley, Citadel, BofA) cut ~$48.4M in TIGR exposure in Q3, while only small passive adds from Wells Fargo and UBS partly offset. The net institutional flow is heavily negative, with Bank of America exiting 92% of its position. This cluster suggests institutional conviction in the Chinese online brokerage story declined meaningfully in Q3, despite robust analyst buy-side consensus. Historical calibration reports weak persistence for bullish scores at this type/cap-bucket, reinforcing a cautious read.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$6.7M
Sell Value
$55.1M
Net Flow
-$45.1M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$45.1M

▲ Buyers (2)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Wells Fargo DOUBLED +494.1% $1.6M $1.3M
UBS ADD +27% $5.1M $1.5M

▼ Sellers (4)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Morgan Stanley TRIM -45.2% $35.7M -$14.1M
Citadel TRIM -47% $18.9M -$7.8M
RenTech TRIM -56.1% $12.3M -$6.4M
BofA NEAR_EXIT -92.2% $22.0M -$20.1M

Actionable Insight

The concentrated sell-off suggests institutional de-risking on TIGR ahead of Q3 results or on China macro headwinds. Given weak historical score persistence (27-34% observed P for 6-8 scores), avoid chasing this signal alone. Watch Q4 13F filings for confirmation that the sell-down continued — if BofA fully exits and Morgan Stanley/Citadel also exit, bears the thesis; if they re-accumulate, the cluster may be noise.

Key Facts

  • Net institutional flow: 4 sellers (-$48.4M) vs 2 buyers (+$2.8M), aggregate net -$45.1M.
  • BofA near-exit reduced 92.2% of shares (2.28M → 179K); value dropped $22.0M → $1.9M.
  • Morgan Stanley trimmed 45% ($35.7M → $21.6M); Citadel trimmed 47% ($18.9M → $11.1M).
  • Only two net buyers were mega-passive (Wells Fargo +UBS), adding $2.8M in total.
  • Past TIGR reports at score 5+ showed negative avg alpha (-4.49% T+20 vs SPY) and only 50% win rate, suggesting this signal has not reliably moved the stock.

Financial Impact

Net $45.1M of institutional selling pressure in Q3, concentrated among three large passive/quant managers trimming 45-92% of their positions.

institutional ownershipfloat exposure

Risk Factors

  • 13F 45-day lag means positions may already be different — Q3 selling could have reversed in Q4.
  • Passive-seller dominance (MS, BofA) could reflect index rebalancing, not fundamental deterioration.
  • Analyst consensus remains 88% bullish — institutional flow and sell-side sentiment are diverging, creating uncertainty.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (17 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-TIGR-2025-Q3
6 reports for TIGR
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 2 of 3 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +6.88%Mar 19, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TIGR — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 11, 2026
2d ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$4.87 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1
Jun 2, 2026
11d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$4.97 $4.67▲ +6.04%▲ +5.31%
May 22, 2026
22d ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$4.36 $5.01▼ −14.91%▼ −14.32%
May 21, 2026
23d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$5.84 $4.36▼ −25.34%▼ −25.79%
Mar 19, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$6.83 $6.57▼ −3.81%▼ −2.07%
Mar 6, 2026
14w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$7.20 $7.31▲ +1.53%▲ +0.68%
Showing 6 of 6

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (47h 45m)

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