TLK PERUSAHAAN PERSEROAN PERSERO PT TELEKOMUNIKASI INDONESIA TBK

BEARISH Impact: 7/10 20-F
Horizon weeks Filed May 15, 2026 Processed 28d 21h ago SEC 0001104659-26-062051
Notable filing: 20-F
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
TLK ▼ -1.33% at T+5d
SHORT call ✓ call won +1.33% · α vs SPY +2.29% · entry $16.57 → $16.35
Next anchor: T+20d tomorrow
Currently $15.86 · +4.28% from $16.57 entry (call sign-flipped)
Entry anchored
May 15, 10:50 AM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+4.53%
call -4.53% · α -4.59%
$17.32
settled 26d ago
T+5d
-1.33%
call +1.33% · α +2.29%
$16.35
settled 22d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
tomorrow
T+60d
call — · α —
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Telkom Indonesia filed its FY2025 20-F annual report, confirming a 2.2% decline in revenue to Rp146.7 trillion and a 17.1% drop in net profit attributable to owners to Rp17.8 trillion. The results were negatively impacted by a significant increase in depreciation and amortization expenses (up 10.3% to Rp37.7 trillion) due to changes in asset useful lives and accelerated depreciation, as well as a Rp242 million unrealized loss on investments. The filing also discloses ongoing SEC and DOJ investigations related to revenue recognition and FCPA compliance, though management does not currently believe these will have a material adverse effect.

Actionable Insight

The 20-F confirms a deteriorating earnings trend with declining revenue, falling profits, and rising depreciation. The ongoing SEC/DOJ investigations add legal overhang. Monitor for any settlement or enforcement action, and watch for Q1 2026 results to see if the H2 2025 ARPU improvement sustains. The partial spin-off of wholesale fiber to TIF may unlock value but execution risk remains.

Key Facts

  • Revenue declined 2.2% YoY to Rp146.7 trillion ($8.8B) in FY2025
  • Net profit attributable to owners fell 17.1% to Rp17.8 trillion ($1.07B)
  • Depreciation and amortization expense increased 10.3% to Rp37.7 trillion ($2.26B)
  • Cellular telephone revenue dropped 29.7% to Rp4.4 trillion ($264M)
  • Cellular data and internet revenue decreased 1.9% to Rp71.3 trillion ($4.28B)
  • Allowance for expected credit losses on trade receivables increased 62% to Rp1.47 trillion ($88M)
  • SEC and DOJ investigations into revenue recognition and FCPA compliance remain ongoing
  • IndiHome B2C subscribers grew 7.4% to 10.3 million, but ARPU declined
  • Cellular subscribers decreased by 3.3 million to 156.1 million
  • Voluntary change in accounting policy for drop cable assets reduced prior-period profits

Financial Impact

Revenue decline of Rp3.2B ($193M) and net profit decline of Rp4.9B ($294M) vs prior year

revenuenet profitdepreciationcellular revenuecredit losses

Risk Factors

  • SEC/DOJ investigations could result in fines, penalties, or operational restrictions
  • Continued decline in legacy cellular revenue and ARPU pressure
  • Rising depreciation from network investments compressing margins
  • Increased credit losses from deteriorating customer financial health
  • Regulatory uncertainty from evolving SOE governance under BPI Danantara

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Telephone Communications (No Radiotelephone)
Analyst Consensus
78% bullish (23 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 2 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
20-F Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-062051
Document: tmb-20251231xex1d1.htm0001104659-26-062051
10 reports for TLK
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 2 of 3 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +4.63%May 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TLK — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 10, 2026
2d ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$15.53 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$15.86 (+2.16%)
Jun 8, 2026
4d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$14.32 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$15.86 (+10.79%)
Jun 4, 2026
8d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$16.02 $15.54▼ −3.00%▼ −0.40%$15.86 (−1.00%)
Jun 4, 2026
8d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$16.02 $15.54▼ −3.00%▼ −0.40%$15.86 (−1.00%)
Jun 3, 2026
10d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$15.66 $16.02▲ +2.30%▲ +1.90%$15.86 (+1.28%)
May 29, 2026
14d ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$16.42 $16.36▲ +0.37%▲ +0.64%$15.86 (+3.41%)
May 15, 2026
28d ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$16.57 $17.32▼ −4.53%▼ −4.59%$15.86 (+4.28%)
May 15, 2026
28d ago
20-F
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$16.57 $17.32▼ −4.53%▼ −4.59%$15.86 (+4.28%)
May 12, 2026
4w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$16.92 $16.95▼ −0.18%▲ +0.40%$15.86 (+6.26%)
Apr 14, 2026
8w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$18.42 $18.41▼ −0.05%▼ −0.83%$15.86 (−13.90%)
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (49h 28m)

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