TMDX TransMedics Group, Inc.

BULLISH Impact: 5/10 Institutional Cluster
Horizon weeks Processed 3d 16h ago
Institutional cluster: 5 buyers, 2 sellers (bullish)

Executive Summary

A bullish institutional cluster formed in TMDX during Q3 2025, with 5 buyers adding $66.4M in net new holdings versus 2 sellers trimming $42.9M. The buying was led by UBS, Two Sigma, and a new position from RenTech, while Morgan Stanley and D.E. Shaw reduced their stakes. The cluster suggests growing institutional conviction in TransMedics' organ transplant technology platform, though the 45-day reporting lag means positions may have shifted since quarter-end.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$189.0M
Sell Value
$102.5M
Net Flow
$23.5M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $23.5M

▲ Buyers (5)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
UBS ADD +79.8% $96.1M $32.2M
Two Sigma ADD +54.2% $71.3M $16.1M
RenTech NEW $16.3M $16.3M
Envestnet Asset Management ADD +78.9% $5.3M $1.8M
T. Rowe Price DOUBLED +188.8% $45.0K $26.0K

▼ Sellers (2)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Morgan Stanley TRIM -25.2% $98.2M -$36.7M
D.E. Shaw TRIM -51.6% $10.3M -$6.1M

Actionable Insight

The cluster is dominated by active quant funds (RenTech, Two Sigma) and a major asset manager (UBS), which carry stronger signal than passive rebalancing. Monitor for any subsequent 13F filings or corporate events (earnings, FDA updates, clinical data) that could explain the shared thesis. The 45-day reporting lag means the cluster may already be partially unwound — watch for price action on any positive catalyst to gauge residual conviction.

Key Facts

  • 5 institutional buyers added $66.4M in net new holdings during Q3 2025
  • 2 institutional sellers reduced holdings by $42.9M
  • Renaissance Technologies initiated a new $16.3M position
  • UBS added $32.2M (+79.8% increase) to its existing stake
  • Two Sigma added $16.1M (+54.2% increase)
  • Morgan Stanley trimmed $36.7M (-25.2% of its position)
  • D.E. Shaw cut $6.1M (-51.6% of its position)
  • Net institutional inflow of approximately $23.5M across the cluster

Financial Impact

5 institutions accumulated $189.0M in aggregate holdings (net change +$66.4M) while 2 institutions reduced holdings by $42.9M, resulting in net institutional inflow of approximately $23.5M

institutional ownershipfloatvaluation

Risk Factors

  • 45-day reporting lag: positions may have been partially or fully unwound since September 30
  • Morgan Stanley's $36.7M trim offsets a significant portion of the buying signal
  • T. Rowe Price's position is negligible ($45K) and likely a passive tracking error
  • Historical TMDX reports show poor T+20 performance (avg -31%) despite bullish signals

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus
Analyst Consensus
74% bullish (19 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-TMDX-2025-Q3
6 reports for TMDX
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for TMDX — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 12, 2026
2d ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$73.69 awaiting T+20awaiting T+20
Jun 11, 2026
3d ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$74.31 awaiting T+20awaiting T+20
Apr 10, 2026
9w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$114.00 $72.90▼ −36.05%▼ −44.58%
Mar 2, 2026
15w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$147.00 $94.31▼ −35.84%▼ −27.91%
Feb 27, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$145.26 $99.05▼ −31.81%▼ −24.26%
Feb 24, 2026
15w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$131.85 $105.13▼ −20.27%▼ −15.03%
Showing 6 of 6

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