TXO CLUSTER SEC Filing Analysis

Latest settled — T+5d

TXO ▲ +5.36% at T+5d

LONG call ✓ call won +5.36% · α vs SPY +3.90% · entry $12.31 → $12.97

Next anchor: T+20d in 12d

Last close $13.71 (close May 22) · +11.37% from $12.31 entry

Entry anchored
May 7, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick

T+1d

+1.54%

call +1.54% · α +1.31%

$12.50

settled 16d ago

T+5d

+5.36%

call +5.36% · α +3.90%

$12.97

settled 10d ago

T+20d

—

call — · α —

—

in 12d

T+60d

—

call — · α —

—

in 2mo

Price Chart

Loading chart...

Executive Summary

Two TXO directors, including 10% owner Bob Simpson, purchased a combined $2.15M in open-market shares over two days, with Simpson alone buying $2.03M. This insider buying cluster represents 0.32% of TXO's $680M market cap — a modest but notable signal of insider confidence, especially given Simpson's large personal stake and the stock's recent price levels.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction

buying

Total Value

$2.1M

Insiders

2

Actionable Insight

Bob Simpson's sustained buying — $9.46M in 7 days — is a strong vote of confidence from a 10% owner. Monitor for any upcoming operational updates (production guidance, distribution changes) that may have triggered this buying. The stock is trading near $12.50, and Simpson's average cost is ~$12.50, providing a potential floor. Consider accumulating on any weakness below $12.

Key Facts

Bob Simpson (Director, 10% Owner) purchased 162,365 shares at $12.50 for $2.03M on 2026-05-08
William H. Adams III (Director) purchased 10,000 shares at $12.41 for $124K on 2026-05-08
Total cluster value: $2.15M, representing 0.32% of TXO's $680M market cap
Simpson also bought 500,000 shares ($6.34M) on 2026-05-11 and 87,635 shares ($1.09M) on 2026-05-07, bringing his 7-day total to ~$9.46M
All transactions are open-market purchases (code P) — no non-cash transactions in this cluster

Financial Impact

Insiders purchased $2.15M in open-market shares over 2 days, with Simpson's total 7-day purchases exceeding $9.4M

insider ownershipmarket confidence

Risk Factors

Insider buying does not guarantee stock performance — historical TXO cluster reports show 0% win rate at T+20
Crude oil and natural gas prices remain volatile, which could pressure TXO's cash flows regardless of insider sentiment
The cluster value is modest relative to market cap (0.32%), limiting its signal strength

Market Snapshot

Exchange

NYSE

Sector

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Analyst Consensus

88% bullish (8 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

Document	Accession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)	cluster-TXO-1778535603547

5 reports for TXO

T+1T+5T+20T+60

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters

Reports for TXO — sortable, filterable
	Type				Now
May 15, 2026 8d ago	Insider Cluster BULLISH ★ 6/10	—	awaiting T+5	—	—
May 8, 2026 16d ago	Insider Cluster BULLISH ★ 5/10	$12.31 $12.97	▲ +5.36%	▲ +3.90%	$13.71 (+11.37%)
May 4, 2026 19d ago	8-K NEUTRAL ★ 2/10	$12.50 $12.88	▲ +3.04%	▲ +1.06%	$13.71 (+9.68%)
Apr 1, 2026 7w ago	Insider Cluster BEARISH ★ 6/10	$12.38 $12.34	▲ +0.32%	▲ +4.09%	$13.71 (−10.74%)
Mar 10, 2026 10w ago	8-K NEUTRAL ★ 5/10	$12.34 $12.31	▼ −0.24%	▲ +1.95%	$13.71 (+11.10%)

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (35h 15m)

Related Tickers

Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence

Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.

Try SecBot Free Coming soon: SecBot Pro with alerts, watchlists, and API access