VAC MARRIOTT VACATIONS WORLDWIDE Corp

BEARISH Impact: 7/10 8-K
Horizon days Filed May 5, 2026 Processed 1mo ago SEC 0001524358-26-000020
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
VAC ▲ +21.62% at T+20d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -21.62% · α vs SPY -16.67% · entry $73.72 → $89.66
Next anchor: T+60d in 7w
Last close $89.51 (close Jun 8) · -21.42% from $73.72 entry (call sign-flipped)
Entry anchored
May 5, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+6.16%
call -6.16% · α -4.77%
$78.26
settled 5w ago
T+5d
-1.76%
call +1.76% · α +3.75%
$72.42
settled 29d ago
T+20d
+21.62%
call -21.62% · α -16.67%
$89.66
settled 7d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 7w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Marriott Vacations Worldwide reported Q1 2026 results with GAAP EPS of $0.64 (down 56% YoY) and adjusted EPS of $1.24 (down 25% YoY), missing consensus estimates of $1.71. Contract sales declined 2% YoY to $411M and Adjusted EBITDA fell 16% to $161M. The company reiterated its full-year 2026 guidance, including Adjusted EBITDA of $755M-$780M, and raised its contract sales guidance range to $1.815B-$1.885B from $1.745B-$1.815B.

Key Financial Metrics

Guidance
$1.815B-$1.885B (contract sales)
maintained
Free Cash Flow
$144.0M

Actionable Insight

The significant EPS miss and broad earnings decline outweigh the raised contract sales guidance. Watch for Q2 2025 results to validate management's expectation of 4%-8% contract sales growth and $187M-$202M Adjusted EBITDA. The stock is likely to trade down sharply on the earnings miss and deteriorating profitability trends.

Key Facts

  • GAAP diluted EPS of $0.64 vs $1.46 in prior year, a 56% decline
  • Adjusted diluted EPS of $1.24 vs $1.66 in prior year, a 25% decline, missing consensus of $1.71
  • Adjusted EBITDA fell 16% to $161M from $192M in prior year
  • Contract sales declined 2% YoY to $411M
  • Full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance reiterated at $755M-$780M
  • Full-year 2026 contract sales guidance raised to $1.815B-$1.885B from $1.745B-$1.815B
  • Net income attributable to common stockholders fell 61% to $22M from $56M
  • Segment Adjusted EBITDA margin in Vacation Ownership declined 440 bps to 24.8%
  • Development profit margin declined 610 bps to 16.1%
  • Company expects Q2 2026 contract sales to increase 4%-8% and Adjusted EBITDA of $187M-$202M

Financial Impact

Adjusted EPS of $1.24 missed consensus of $1.71 by 27.5%; Adjusted EBITDA down 16% YoY; GAAP net income down 61%

epsrevenueebitdanet incomecontract salesmargins

Risk Factors

  • Continued decline in contract sales and tours
  • Further margin compression in Vacation Ownership segment
  • High leverage with $3.3B corporate debt and $2.3B non-recourse debt
  • Execution risk on asset disposition strategy targeting $200M-$250M by 2027
  • Restructuring and modernization costs may continue to pressure earnings

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others)
Analyst Consensus
60% bullish (15 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001524358-26-000020
Document: vac-20260505.htm0001524358-26-000020
Document: 0001524358-26-000020-index-headers.html0001524358-26-000020
Document: 0001524358-26-000020-index.html0001524358-26-000020
Document: 0001524358-26-000020.txt0001524358-26-000020
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001524358-26-000020
3 reports for VAC
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for VAC — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 18, 2026
22d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$69.56 $84.12▲ +20.94%▲ +18.64%$89.51 (+28.69%)
May 5, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$73.72 $72.42▲ +1.76%▲ +3.75%$89.51 (−21.42%)
Feb 25, 2026
14w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$66.86 $71.97▼ −7.64%▼ −8.76%$89.51 (−33.87%)
Showing 3 of 3

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