ZS Zscaler, Inc.

BEARISH Impact: 3/10 ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
Processed 27d 12h ago SEC analyst-ZS-btig-20260409
BTIG double downgrade: Buy → Neutral
Latest settled — T+20d
ZS ▲ +25.39% at T+20d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -25.39% · α vs SPY -17.82% · entry $121.25 → $152.03
Next anchor: T+60d in 4w
Currently $130.78 · -7.86% from $121.25 entry (call sign-flipped)
Entry anchored
Apr 8, 06:22 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-2.75%
call +2.75% · α +2.68%
$117.92
settled 8w ago
T+5d
+10.75%
call -10.75% · α -7.56%
$134.28
settled 7w ago
T+20d
+25.39%
call -25.39% · α -17.82%
$152.03
settled 4w ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 4w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

BTIG double downgraded the stock from Buy to Neutral on April 9, 2026, without issuing a new price target, citing valuation and risk/reward concerns. This is the only downgrade in the past 30 days and stands in stark contrast to the consensus: 47 of 58 analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy, 11 rate Hold, and none rate Sell. The mean price target of $224.12 implies 47% upside from the current $152.13, though the high target is $330 and the low is $140. BTIG has a 57% accuracy rate on 7 calls with an average return of 7.1%, placing it in the above-average tier among firms covering this name. The stock has seen no upgrades in the last month, and EPS revisions over the past 30 days are slightly negative (0 up, 1 down for the current quarter). Insider selling has been heavy in March, with five executives selling a combined ~$1.4M. Institutional activity is mixed: Morgan Stanley added 25.4%, while Two Sigma trimmed 63.9% and UBS trimmed 49.8%. Short interest is elevated at 58.9% of off-exchange volume. The next earnings report is due May 27, 2026, adding a near-term catalyst. The bottom line: BTIG's contrarian downgrade is a yellow flag, but the overwhelming bullish consensus and strong upside to the mean target suggest this is a tactical pause, not a structural call.

Impact Score

Base Score
2/7
LLM Adjustment
+1
Final Score
3/10

Consensus & Targets

Buy / Strong Buy
47 (81%)
Hold
11
Sell / Strong Sell
0
Total Analysts
45
Mean PT
$224.12
Median PT
$215.00
High PT
$330.00
Low PT
$140.00
Current Price
$152.13
Implied Upside
+47.3%

Consensus is overwhelmingly bullish: 15 Strong Buy, 32 Buy, 11 Hold, 0 Sell, 0 Strong Sell across 58 analysts. That's 81% Buy/Strong Buy, 19% Hold, and 0% Sell. The consensus direction is firmly bullish, making BTIG's downgrade a clear outlier.

Current price: $152.13. Mean target: $224.12 (implied upside +47%). Median: $215. High: $330. Low: $140. BTIG did not provide a price target, so its view sits below the consensus mean and median. The low target of $140 is below the current price, suggesting some analysts see downside risk.

Recent Analyst Activity

DateFirmActionRatingPrice Target
2026-05-01 Citizens maintain Market Outperform $210.00
2026-04-22 Morgan Stanley downgrade Equal-Weight $155.00
2026-04-15 Keybanc maintain Overweight $160.00
2026-04-09 BTIG downgrade Neutral
2026-03-10 Oppenheimer maintain Outperform $250.00
2026-03-03 Wells Fargo initiate Overweight $200.00
2026-03-02 Citigroup maintain Buy $195.00
2026-03-02 Goldman Sachs maintain Neutral $257.00
2026-02-27 Macquarie maintain Outperform $210.00
2026-02-27 Canaccord Genuity maintain Buy $275.00

30-day analyst activity: 0 upgrades, 1 downgrade (BTIG). EPS revisions are slightly negative: 0 up, 1 down for the current quarter; 0 up, 1 down for the next quarter; 0 up, 1 down for the current fiscal year. The trend is mildly bearish, with estimates being trimmed modestly.

Firm Track Record — BTIG

BTIG accuracy: 53% on 948 calls | avg return: 3.7%

Industry benchmark: mean 51% ± 11%. Top tier: ≥61% (mean + 1σ). Based on 15 firms with ≥5 scored calls.

FirmAccuracyCallsAvg Returnvs Average
Stephens & Co. 100% 3/3 19.8% top tier
Truist Securities 100% 2/2 1.9% top tier
Loop Capital 80% 4/5 10.8% top tier
Barclays 73% 8/11 4.2% top tier
Baird 71% 5/7 8.8% top tier
Stifel 71% 5/7 1% top tier
Bernstein 67% 2/3 -18.5% top tier
Mizuho 64% 7/11 -2% top tier
BMO Capital 63% 5/8 12.1% top tier
Wedbush 60% 3/5 5% above average

BTIG has a 57% accuracy rate on 7 calls with an average return of 7.1%, placing it in the above-average tier. The best-performing firms on this stock are Stephens & Co. (100% on 3 calls, avg return +19.8%) and Truist Securities (100% on 2 calls, avg return +1.9%). The worst is Bernstein (67% on 3 calls, avg return -18.5%). BTIG's track record is decent but not elite, so the downgrade carries moderate weight.

Earnings Estimates

Next earnings: May 27, 2026

PeriodEPS Est.EPS RangeRevenueRevisions (7d)
0q $1.01 $0.94 — $1.07 $835.7M ↑0 ↓0
+1q $1.03 $1.01 — $1.16 $878.7M ↑0 ↓0
0y $4.02 $3.80 — $4.47 $3.3B ↑0 ↓0
+1y $4.59 $3.81 — $5.23 $4.0B ↑0 ↓0

Cross-Platform Signals

Insider Trades (90d)
0 buys / 5 sells
Institutional
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP — trim (-63.9%)
Institutional
NORGES BANK — new
Institutional
MORGAN STANLEY — add (25.4%)
Short Interest
Short: 476,562 | Exempt: 8,033 | TRF Vol: 809,438 | Short Ratio: 58.9% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)

Insider trading is bearish: five executives sold a combined ~$1.4M in mid-March, including the CEO and CFO. No congressional trades. Institutional activity is mixed: Morgan Stanley added 25.4%, while Two Sigma trimmed 63.9%, Bank of America trimmed 52.9%, and UBS trimmed 49.8%. Short interest is elevated at 58.9% of off-exchange volume, indicating significant bearish positioning. The analyst downgrade converges with insider selling and short interest, but diverges from the bullish consensus and some institutional buying.

Actionable Insight

BTIG's downgrade adds to the bearish cross-signals from insider selling and high short interest, but the overwhelming bullish consensus and 47% upside to the mean target suggest this is a tactical caution, not a structural call. Traders should watch for further downgrades or EPS revisions ahead of the May 27 earnings — a break below $140 (the low target) would confirm bearish momentum.

Documents Analyzed

Report based on filing metadata.

15 reports for ZS
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate 2 of 4 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +6.80%Apr 22, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ZS — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 1, 2026
4d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 3/10
awaiting T+5
May 31, 2026
5d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 2/10
$232.67 $229.12▼ −1.53%▼ −2.86%$130.78 (−43.79%)
May 27, 2026
9d ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 5/10
awaiting T+5
May 26, 2026
10d ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$126.17 $134.28▲ +6.43%▲ +5.96%$130.78 (+3.65%)
May 22, 2026
14d ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 3/10
$142.00 $134.27▲ +5.44%▲ +5.50%$130.78 (+7.90%)
May 21, 2026
15d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
awaiting T+5
May 19, 2026
17d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
awaiting T+5
May 18, 2026
18d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 3/10
awaiting T+5
May 9, 2026
27d ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 3/10
$121.25 $134.28▼ −10.75%▼ −7.56%$130.78 (−7.86%)
May 7, 2026
29d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$152.03 $152.43▲ +0.26%▼ −1.24%$130.78 (−13.98%)
Showing 10 of 15

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (36h 26m)

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